ICAO 9878 PDF

INTRODUCTION

The main purpose of the Caribbean/South American (CAR/SAM) Region Traffic Forecasting Group (TFG), formed in 1996, is to support the planning of air navigation services in the Region. Traffic forecasts and the analysis of peak-period planning parameters are important in anticipating where and when airspace and airport congestions may occur. It is then possible to plan for the required expansion of capacity. These forecasts also have an important role in planning the implementation of CNS/ATM systems. The primary users of the forecasts developed by the CAR/SAM TFG are expected to be Member States of ICAO, air navigation service providers in the region, and the ICAO planning and implementation regional group for CAR/SAM (GREPECAS).

The CAR/SAM TFG to date has held 6 meetings. The last meeting, held in Lima from 12 to 16 September 2005, developed a new set of forecasts for the six major route groups to, from and within the Region, taking into account the recent developments. These forecasts also include traffic projections for the top 25 city pairs in each of the major route groups. In addition, the aircraft movements forecasts and the analysis of peak-period planning parameters for the top 25 airports in the Latin American and Caribbean region were also developed, in response to GREPECAS' requirements.