THIS PAPER DEFINES THE PERFORMANCE LEVEL TO BE EXPECTED FOR DESKTOP COMPUTERS IN COMING YEARS. IT ADDRESSES THE QUESTION OF HOW WILL PERSONAL COMPUTER AND WORKSTATIONS EVOLVE AND HOW MUCH LONGER WILL WE TREAT THEM AS TWO SEPARATE PRODUCT CATEGORIES. THE 300 SPECMARK COMPUTERS AND MULTI-GIGABYTE DISK DRIVES WILL BE COMMON BY 1995. GRAPHIC PERFORMANCE WILL INCREASE TO THE POINT THAT REAL-TIME 3D SHADED IMAGES WILL BE A STANDARD FEATURE ON MOST DESKTOP COMPUTER SYSTEMS. SOME WILL BE ABSORBED IN SUPPORTING NEW OPERATING SYSTEMS AND GRAPHICAL USER INTERFACES. THE TREND TOWARD OBJECT-ORIENTED PROGRAMMING ALONE WILL REQUIRE VERY FAST COMPUTERS. BUT MUCH MORE EXCITING ARE THE OPPORTUNITIES THAT WILL OPEN UP FOR NEW WAYS OF DOING ENGINEERING. THIS PAPER DEFINES THE LEVEL OF PERFORMANCE TO BE EXPECTED FOR DESKTOP COMPUTERS. ENGINEERING MANAGERS NEED TO UNDERSTAND THE DYNAMICS FORCING CHANGES IN T
